Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Winter likely to be mild

The weather forecast for Montgomery County and generally Southeast Texas by our friendly national weathermen is dismal and threatening to our forests. We should have little rain and mild temperatures, but we will receive those dry northers. All of this is caused by La Niña strengthening and holding for the winter. El Niño produces west coast rain that travels here along the lower jet stream. It will not be active, so the prediction. If it holds out, we will again be in a severe drought until next summer when La Niña (if active will affect our summer rains) again brings the rain. So look for continued warm weather with clear skies, but occasional very cold dry air, similar to what we have experienced in October. Of course, the dominating factors cannot be reliably forecast and could change at about any time, so we shall see.